Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 4.285114 4.602227 4.942769 5.337656 5.785503 6.280702 6.873962
2025-08-10 3.711432 4.135732 4.620000 5.220949 5.957359 6.845212 8.020813
2025-08-17 3.338671 3.807160 4.363066 5.084734 6.018056 7.217070 8.933907
2025-08-24 3.093296 3.589904 4.197154 5.014271 6.118971 7.617519 9.920384
2025-08-31 2.948601 3.476253 4.139268 5.061636 6.362663 8.225457 11.307095
2025-09-07 2.816267 3.363643 4.067236 5.074236 6.548392 8.764987 12.698738
2025-09-14 2.637872 3.177217 3.880849 4.907076 6.447723 8.844812 13.321830
2025-09-21 2.504293 3.040745 3.750677 4.805326 6.428753 9.043844 14.197813
2025-09-28 2.401849 2.939213 3.660320 4.751203 6.473082 9.347422 15.346618
2025-10-05 2.325430 2.868169 3.606838 4.745317 6.590053 9.789243 16.907225
2025-10-12 2.284405 2.842865 3.615297 4.831833 6.865085 10.558617 19.475135
2025-10-19 2.243592 2.815103 3.617477 4.907078 7.127373 11.349707 22.449271
2025-10-26 2.179574 2.753487 3.569342 4.903315 7.259485 11.925879 25.211846
2025-11-02 2.095518 2.659839 3.469054 4.808244 7.217190 12.131710 27.005759
2025-11-09 2.011621 2.562941 3.358994 4.689223 7.117718 12.194889 28.387559
2025-11-16 1.947937 2.492863 3.286182 4.627323 7.120029 12.491210 30.813218
2025-11-23 1.913691 2.464322 3.275266 4.668969 7.327094 13.315633 36.006820
2025-11-30 1.874563 2.426777 3.248146 4.680042 7.473732 14.026515 41.518132
2025-12-07 1.802118 2.336989 3.135115 4.532970 7.280692 13.813215 42.216449
2025-12-14 1.746394 2.270627 3.056703 4.443266 7.200289 13.893971 44.714895
2025-12-21 1.703060 2.221474 3.003579 4.395494 7.203733 14.208441 49.048297
2025-12-28 1.671147 2.188554 2.975025 4.390296 7.298297 14.807158 56.289698
2026-01-04 1.657720 2.183230 2.990583 4.466648 7.581143 16.049978 71.626581